新疆单站气温短时预报的气候统计方法试验--《沙漠与绿洲气象》2007年01期

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新疆单站气温短时预报的气候统计方法试验水利论文 \ t^kX7L'z

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【摘要】:以塔城站为例在分析单站气温日变化基本特征的基础上,就云量、风向风速等对气温变化的影响进行了分级,统计了各月2~6h的分类气温平均变量,探讨采用分类气温平均变量制作6~12h短时气温的客观统计预报方法,经检验和试用效果较好。

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0}8iNo$\g[0【作者单位】:

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#D4m-@"Ek0新疆气象台 新疆气象台 新疆气象台 巴州气象局

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【关键词】:

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p U![ i*q;WbL0气温 短时预报 客观预报

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【基金】:新疆气象局科研项目“新疆短时预报业务自动化系统”

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【分类号】:P456.4水利论文 }U r/J#^A

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【正文快照】:水利论文mX3iP/O3[_I1V)uT

@K8RwWrU-V?0|H0众所周知,人们的很多活动与气温变化密切相关。随着社会经济的发展和人们生活水平的提高,对气温预报的要求也越来越高,制作更为精细和准确的气温预报成为气象业务优先解决的问题之一。张德山等利用气温日较差分级法制作北京市逐时气温预报[1],1996—1997年7月08时24h逐时预报水利论文^(`p,s9ff xV

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